Failure Risk Estimation via Markov Software Usage Models

نویسنده

  • Walter J. Gutjahr
چکیده

A software usage models describes the prospective use of a program in its intended environment and allows the generation of random test cases leading to unbiased estimates of the failure risk, i.e., the expected loss by program failure. We concentrate on usage models of Markov type and show that by suitable changes of the probabilities of state transitions during test, the precision of the risk estimate can be optimized. An algorithm for the computation of optimal transition probabilities is presented, and experimental results based on a C++ implementation of this algorithm are reported.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Using Copulas to Model Dependence in Simulation Risk Assessment

Typical engineering systems in applications with high failure consequences such as nuclear reactor plants often employ redundancy and diversity of equipment in an effort to lower the probability of failure and therefore risk. However, it has long been recognized that dependencies exist in these redundant and diverse systems. Some dependencies, such as common sources of electrical power, are typ...

متن کامل

Statistical non-parametric algorithms to estimate the optimal software rejuvenation schedule

In this paper, we extend the classical result by Huang, Kintala, Kolettis and Fulton (1995), and in addition propose a modified stochastic model to determine the software rejuvenation schedule. More precisely, the software rejuvenation models are formulated via the semi-Markov processes, and the optimal software rejuvenation schedules which maximize the system availabilities are derived analyti...

متن کامل

Analysis of software cost models with rejuvenation

Software rejuvenation is a preventive maintenance technique that has been extensively studied in the recent literature. In this paper, we extend the classical result by Huang, Kintala, Kolettis and Fulton (1995), and in addition propose a modified stochastic model to generate the software rejuvenation schedule. More precisely, the software rejuvenation models are formulated via the semi-Markov ...

متن کامل

Estimation of portfolio efficient frontier by different measures of risk via ‎DEA

In this paper, linear Data Envelopment Analysis models are used to estimate Markowitz efficient frontier. Conventional DEA models assume non-negative values for inputs and outputs. however, variance is the only variable in these models that takes non-negative values. Therefore, negative data models which the risk of the assets had been used as an input and expected return was the output are uti...

متن کامل

Software dependability evaluation based on Markov usage models

A general technique for computing optimal state transition probabilities for software tests, based on a Markov usage model, is developed. The optimization criterion is maximum precision of unbiased dependability estimates derived from the test results. Three diierent dependability measures are considered: (i) risk, (ii) safety, and (iii) reliability. As input, pre{information on failure probabi...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 1997